Climate Impacts, Food Security, and Multiple Breadbasket Failures

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The Pardee Center hosted an international workshop in the fall of 2014 to develop an overall research agenda, and published the results as a Research Report titled “The Risks of Multiple Breadbasket Failures in the 21st Century: A Science Research Agenda” in March 2017. Co-authored by Janetos and an interdisciplinary team of leading researchers, the report described a science research agenda toward improved probabilistic modeling and prediction of multiple breadbasket failures and the potential consequences for global food systems.

Following the publication, Janetos, supported by Connors and Romitti, used scenario results considering implications for land allocation and associated carbon emissions for inclusion in an AGU book chapter, which seeks to understand the telecoupled relationships among distant regions to support integrated strategies for climate change mitigation. Continued analysis to evaluate the cascading effects of potential multiple breadbasket failures and food security implications is in preparation, led by Connors and Romitti with an interdisciplinary team of researchers at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.