Experts React: China’s National Development and Reform Commission Issues New Guidance on Greening the BRI

Great Hall of the People, Beijing, China. Photo via Shutterstock.

On Monday, March 28, 2022, China’s National Development and Reform Commission issued new guidelines on greening the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the ambitious multi-billion-dollar international push to better connect China to the rest of the world through trade and infrastructure. Through this venture, China is providing over 100 countries with funding they have long sought for roads, railways, power plants, ports and other infrastructure projects.

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Below, our experts share their reactions to the landmark announcement:

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“This guidance represents the first real clarity regarding policy implementation of Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s 2021 statement that China would not build new coal plants overseas. Planned coal plants are unlikely to go forward, while plants under construction are likely to proceed, which could add nearly 50GW of new overseas coal capacity and up to 300 million tons of annual CO2 emissions. However, the guidance also highlights China’s desire to cooperate on renewable energy development overseas and to help China’s domestic renewable energy companies go global, both of which are big steps forward for shifting to a green and low-carbon BRI.”

“This guidance marks an important step forward in prioritizing the environmental concerns of local communities, not just national governments. Communities around the world have long sought protections to ensure that they share in the economic benefits – and are protected from the environmental costs – of international investments, but very few safeguards exist to steer global commercial investment in this direction. As a result, projects may exacerbate existing conflicts and face delays or even cancellations. This guidance recognizes the serious environmental, social and economic risks that can arise from ignoring those concerns. China’s Ministry of Ecology and Environment has developed tools for investors to consider their impacts on local ecosystems, and this guidance will steer investors toward those tools to ensure Chinese overseas investment is truly win-win.”

“As Chinese development finance volumes currently stand at historic lows, this guidance encourages Chinese policy banks and other sources of financing from commercial banks and Chinese companies, to direct lending toward green financing. Should development finance volumes rebound, we may see financing directed to more green sectors and an increase in green financing coming from sources beyond development finance. Global South countries who are seeking to undergo transitions from fossil fuel dependency to renewable energy for their domestic development will welcome these new developments from not just China’s policy banks, but financing sources beyond development finance.”

“ The guideline signals China is considering explicit actions to transform its operating and under construction carbon-intensive assets, including technology upgrades and applying carbon capture and storage (CCS). Fossil fuel asset transition is a global challenge. Our recent global study shows that retrofitting existing fossil fuel power plants with CCS could reduce asset stranding to certain extent, but the global risk still remains high. All carbon-intensive asset financiers should join China in contemplating how to mitigate the stranding risk of existing carbon-intensive assets on a case-by-case basis.”
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